Yaxel Lendeborg

Golden State Warriors · F · #1

MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Blocks, typical price −1413 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%4 of 8L8 · Without Butler

Under 0.5 Blocks hit in 4 of 8 games without Jimmy Butler III (his last 8 games).

at LAL, 2026-10-21: 0, hit, 29 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-23: 0, hit, 37 min
at PHX, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 36 min
at DEN, 2026-10-26: 1, missed, 31 min
at MIN, 2026-10-28: 1, missed, 35 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-30: 0, hit, 24 min
vs LAC, 2026-11-01: 0, hit, 34 min
vs PHX, 2026-11-02: 1, missed, 29 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 blocks.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jimmy Butler III: Out (knee)
Under 0.5 without him: 4 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Kristaps Porzingis: Out (illness)
Under 0.5 without him: 4 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Moses Moody: Out (knee)
Under 0.5 without him: 4 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
MIA allow 2.6 blocks a game to forwards: 8th most of 30
8 games

Splits

Under 0.5 · L8 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L8

Stephen CurryG
Jimmy Butler IIIFOut
Brandin PodziemskiG
Kristaps PorzingisCOut
Moses MoodyGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Warriors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Lendeborg didn't play the Jan 19 meeting

L8 · Without Butler · Under 0.5

Average: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 4 of 8
Price implies: 59%; at −141
Books’ fair: 55%; margin removed
Our chance: 55%; estimate · fair −122

Research, not a pick. At −141 the price is worse than our fair −122, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L8 · Without Butler

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L8
	+1053 books	−1411 book	4/8
	+4803 books	—	8/8

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Blocks, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
betPARX4 min ago	+105Best	−141Best
Bally Bet5 min ago	+105Best	—
BetRivers4 min ago	+105Best	—

Prices as of 6:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under: No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Yaxel Lendeborg's full game log and splits