Yaxel Lendeborg
MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PM
Game log against Over 1.5
50%4 of 8L8 · Without Butler
Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 4 of 8 games without Jimmy Butler III (his last 8 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–4 3-pointers made.
What's different today
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayTeammate out
Jimmy Butler III: Out (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 4 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Kristaps Porzingis: Out (illness)
Over 1.5 without him: 4 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Moses Moody: Out (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 4 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
MIA allow 5.4 threes made a game to forwards: 8th most of 30
8 games
Splits
Over 1.5 · L8 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 1.5 · L8Stephen CurryG
Jimmy Butler IIIFOut
Brandin PodziemskiG
Kristaps PorzingisCOut
Moses MoodyGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Warriors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIA
Lendeborg didn't play the Jan 19 meeting
L8 · Without Butler · Over 1.5
- Average
- 2.5
- +1 vs line
- Median
- 1.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 4 of 8
- Price implies
- 64%
- at −175
- Books’ fair
- 59%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 61%
- estimate · fair −155
Research, not a pick. At −169 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −155, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L8 · Without Butler| Line | Over | Under | L8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −8502 books | — | 8/8 | |
| −1756 books | +1285 books | 4/8 | |
| +1635 books | — | 2/8 | |
| +3805 books | — | 2/8 | |
| +8005 books | — | 2/8 | |
| +23002 books | — | 2/8 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings6 min ago | −169Best | +128 |
| FanDuel1 min ago | −174 | +130 |
| betPARX1 min ago | −175 | +128 |
| BetRivers1 min ago | −175 | +128 |
| Bally Bet6 min ago | −177 | — |
| Pinnacle6 min ago | −178 | +132Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:24 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Over: −174 → −175 since first seen