Yaxel Lendeborg

Golden State Warriors · F · #1

MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under1.5

—1 pick'em app, no priceUpdated

50%4 of 8L8 · Without Butler

Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 4 of 8 games without Jimmy Butler III (his last 8 games).

at LAL, 2026-10-21: 1, missed, 29 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-23: 1, missed, 37 min
at PHX, 2026-10-24: 6, cleared, 36 min
at DEN, 2026-10-26: 1, missed, 31 min
at MIN, 2026-10-28: 2, cleared, 35 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-30: 1, missed, 24 min
vs LAC, 2026-11-01: 6, cleared, 34 min
vs PHX, 2026-11-02: 2, cleared, 29 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–4 3-pointers made.

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jimmy Butler III: Out (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 4 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Kristaps Porzingis: Out (illness)
Over 1.5 without him: 4 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Moses Moody: Out (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 4 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
MIA allow 5.4 threes made a game to forwards: 8th most of 30
8 games

Splits

Over 1.5 · L8 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L8

Stephen CurryG
Jimmy Butler IIIFOut
Brandin PodziemskiG
Kristaps PorzingisCOut
Moses MoodyGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Warriors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Lendeborg didn't play the Jan 19 meeting

L8 · Without Butler · Over 1.5

Average: 2.5; +1 vs line
Median: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 4 of 8
Price implies: —; 1 pick'em app, no price
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −154

Research, not a pick. No sportsbook prices the Over 1.5 right now; it's posted on 1 pick'em app. Our fair price is −154.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L8 · Without Butler

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L8
	pick'em only	pick'em only	4/8

Compare 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over isn't priced at 1.5 right now.

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Yaxel Lendeborg's full game log and splits

This page last updated 10:10 PM ET.