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Marcus Smart

Houston Rockets · G · #36

BOS @ HOU · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PM
OverUnder4.5
Over 4.5 Reb+Ast, typical price −1035 sportsbooks · consensus line

Game log against Over 4.5

80%8 of 10L10

Over 4.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

  1. vs HOU, 2026-04-29: 7, cleared
  2. at HOU, 2026-05-01: 8, cleared
  3. at OKC, 2026-05-05: 11, cleared
  4. at OKC, 2026-05-07: 9, cleared
  5. vs OKC, 2026-05-09: 6, cleared
  6. vs OKC, 2026-05-11: 5, cleared
  7. vs DAL, 2026-10-21: 4, missed
  8. at SA, 2026-10-23: 4, missed
  9. at DAL, 2026-10-30: 6, cleared
  10. vs OKC, 2026-10-31: 8, cleared
ClearedMissedThe 4.5 line

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 3.1–10.9 reb+ast.

No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.

L10 · Over 4.5

Average
6.8
+2.3 vs line
Median
6.5
+2 vs line
Hit rate
80%
8 of 10
Price implies
51%
at −103
Books’ fair
48%
margin removed
Our chance
62%
estimate · fair −162

Research, not a pick. At −103 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −162, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1035 books−1273 books8/10
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 4.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 4.5Under 4.5
Bally Bet21 hr ago−103Best—
betPARX21 hr ago−103Best−130
BetRivers21 hr ago−103Best—
DraftKings21 hr ago−104−127
FanDuel21 hr ago−113−113Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

No opening line kept for this market yet.

No line history recorded for this market yet.

What moved our number

Pace−0.6%
Marcus Smart's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.