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Marcus Smart
BOS @ HOUCeltics @ Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET
The line
Over 0.5 Steals
Typical price −1863 sportsbooks
Game log
Over 0.5Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 9 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–3 steals.
Home and away
L10 · Over 0.5Hometonight
80%
4 of 5
Away
100%
5 of 5
L10 · Over 0.5 Steals
- Average
- 1.6
- +1.1 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 90%
- 9 of 10
- Price implies
- 65%
- −186, 3 sportsbooks
- Market’s fair
- 60%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 69%
- estimate · fair −226
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Research, not a pick. At −186 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −226, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet6 min ago | −186Best | — |
| betPARX6 min ago | −186Best | +135Best |
| BetRivers6 min ago | −186Best | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:17 PM ET.
Every posted line
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1863 books | +1351 book | 9/10 | |
| +2253 books | — | 4/10 |
What moved our number
Pace−0.6%