Marcus Smart

Houston Rockets · G · #36

BOS @ HOUCeltics @ Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET

The line

Over 2.5 Assists

+1205 sportsbooks

Game log

Over 2.5

Over 2.5 Assists cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

vs HOU: 2, missed
at HOU: 1, missed
at OKC: 7, cleared
at OKC: 5, cleared
vs OKC: 3, cleared
vs OKC: 3, cleared
vs DAL: 2, missed
at SA: 1, missed
at DAL: 4, cleared
vs OKC: 3, cleared

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 2–7 assists.

Home and away

L10 · Over 2.5

Hometonight

60%

3 of 5

Away

60%

3 of 5

L10 · Over 2.5 Assists

Average: 3.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 3; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 45%; +120, 5 sportsbooks
Market’s fair: 44%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −135

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Research, not a pick. At +120 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −135, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Bally Bet56 min ago	+120Best	—
betPARX56 min ago	+120Best	−162
BetRivers54 min ago	+120Best	−162
FanDuel54 min ago	+112	−142Best
DraftKings1 hr ago	+109	−143
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price