Marcus Smart
BOS @ HOU · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PM
Game log against Under 1.5
50%5 of 10L10
Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–3 3-pointers made.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Under 1.5
- Average
- 1.8
- +0.3 vs line
- Median
- 1.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 69%
- at −226
- Books’ fair
- 65%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −149
Research, not a pick. At −205 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −149, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2812 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +1726 books | −2265 books | 5/10 | |
| +4805 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +13202 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +27001 book | — | 9/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel18 hr ago | +158 | −205Best |
| Pinnacle18 hr ago | +158 | −215 |
| DraftKings18 hr ago | +169 | −226 |
| betPARX18 hr ago | +175Best | −240 |
| BetRivers18 hr ago | +175Best | −245 |
| Bally Bet18 hr ago | +175Best | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace−0.6%
This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.