Daniel Gafford

Dallas Mavericks · F · #21

DAL @ SA · Today 9:30 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Steals, typical price −1271 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).

at MIL, 2026-03-31: 0, missed, 11 min
vs ORL, 2026-04-03: 2, cleared, 20 min
vs LAL, 2026-04-05: 2, cleared, 20 min
at HOU, 2026-10-21: 1, cleared, 22 min
at IND, 2026-10-23: 0, missed, 15 min
vs SA, 2026-10-24: 3, cleared, 23 min
at MIA, 2026-10-26: 1, cleared, 26 min
vs OKC, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 27 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-30: 0, missed, 29 min
vs SAC, 2026-11-02: 1, cleared, 26 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayMinutes
Last 5: 26.2 min · 2025–26: 21.7 (55 games) · up 21%
Teammate out
Max Christie: Out (hip)
Over 0.5 without him: 3 of 4; with him: 31 of 58 (62 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Dereck Lively II: Out (foot)
Over 0.5 without him: 31 of 58; with him: 3 of 4 (62 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
SA allow 2.7 steals a game to forwards: 23rd most of 30
7 games

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Cooper FlaggF
Kyrie IrvingG
Naji MarshallF
Max ChristieGOut
Dereck Lively IICOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mavericks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SA

Steals: 3 in 23 min, Oct 24 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 6 of 8 games against SA on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1; +0.5 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 56%; at −127
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Minutes: 21.9; 10 games · 21.7 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	−1271 book	pick'em only	6/10
	+3601 book	—	3/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet2 hr ago	−127Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:40 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: No move since first seen

Daniel Gafford's full game log and splits

This page last updated 9:43 PM ET.