Daniel Gafford

Dallas Mavericks · F · #21

DAL @ SA · Tomorrow 9:30 PM

Over Under8.5

—2 pick'em apps, no priceUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightMinutes
Last 5: 26.2 min · 2025–26: 21.7 (55 games) · up 21%
Teammate out
Max Christie: Out (hip)
Over 8.5 without him: 1 of 4; with him: 25 of 58 (62 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Dereck Lively II: Out (foot)
Over 8.5 without him: 23 of 58; with him: 3 of 4 (62 games as teammates)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs SAC

40%4 of 10L10

Over 8.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).

at MIL, 2026-03-31: 4, missed, 11 min
vs ORL, 2026-04-03: 4, missed, 20 min
vs LAL, 2026-04-05: 7, missed, 20 min
at HOU, 2026-10-21: 4, missed, 22 min
at IND, 2026-10-23: 8, missed, 15 min
vs SA, 2026-10-24: 11, cleared, 23 min
at MIA, 2026-10-26: 11, cleared, 26 min
vs OKC, 2026-10-28: 13, cleared, 27 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-30: 9, cleared, 29 min
vs SAC, 2026-11-02: 7, missed, 26 min

ClearedMissedThe 8.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 8.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 8.5 · L10

Cooper FlaggF
Kyrie IrvingG
Naji MarshallF
Max ChristieGOut
Dereck Lively IICOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Mavericks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SA

Reb+Ast: 11 in 23 min, Oct 24 (home)

Over 8.5 hit in 5 of 8 games against SA on record

L10 · Over 8.5

Average: 7.8; −0.7 vs line
Median: 7.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: —; 2 pick'em apps, no price
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Minutes: 21.9; 10 games · 21.7 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 2 pick'em apps (a pick'em line, no price).

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	pick'em only	pick'em only	4/10

Compare 2 pick'em apps at 8.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 8.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 8.5	Under 8.5
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:18 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

8.5

No opening line kept for this market yet.

No line history recorded for this market yet.

Daniel Gafford's full game log and splits