Daniel Gafford

Dallas Mavericks · F · #21

DAL @ SA · Wed, Nov 4 9:30 PM

Over only1.5

Over 1.5 Assists, typical price −1331 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Assists cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).

at MIL, 2026-03-31: 0, missed, 11 min
vs ORL, 2026-04-03: 1, missed, 20 min
vs LAL, 2026-04-05: 0, missed, 20 min
at HOU, 2026-10-21: 1, missed, 22 min
at IND, 2026-10-23: 5, cleared, 15 min
vs SA, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 23 min
at MIA, 2026-10-26: 3, cleared, 26 min
vs OKC, 2026-10-28: 2, cleared, 27 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-30: 2, cleared, 29 min
vs SAC, 2026-11-02: 0, missed, 26 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different yesterday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayMinutes
Last 5: 26.2 min · 2025–26: 21.7 (55 games) · up 21%
Teammate out
Max Christie: Out (hip)
Over 1.5 without him: 0 of 4; with him: 21 of 58 (62 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Dereck Lively II: Out (foot)
Over 1.5 without him: 18 of 58; with him: 3 of 4 (62 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
SA allow 7.3 assists a game to forwards: 20th most of 30
7 games

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Cooper FlaggF
Kyrie IrvingG
Naji MarshallF
Max ChristieGOut
Dereck Lively IICOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Mavericks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SA

Assists: 2 in 23 min, Oct 24 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 7 of 8 games against SA on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −133
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted
Minutes: 21.9; 10 games · 21.7 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−1331 book	5/10
	+2251 book	2/10
	+5851 book	1/10
	+13801 book	1/10
	+27001 book	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“2+ assists”), with no Under to take.

Compare 1 sportsbook at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 1.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5
DraftKings13 hr ago	−133Best

Prices as of 9:40 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: +110 → −133 since first seen

Daniel Gafford's full game log and splits

This page last updated 9:43 PM ET.