Damian Lillard
POR @ DEN · Mon, Nov 2 9:00 PM
Game log against Under 24.5
70%7 of 10L10
Under 24.5 Pts+Reb hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for Monday's game: a typical game lands 10.2–28.1 pts+reb.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Under 24.5
- Average
- 18.4
- −6.1 vs line
- Median
- 19.5
- −5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 52%
- at −108
- Books’ fair
- 48%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −127
Research, not a pick. At +105 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −127, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −14352 books | — | 3/10 | |
| −3355 books | — | 5/10 | |
| −1651 book | +1251 book | 6/10 | |
| −1216 books | −1084 books | 7/10 | |
| −1101 book | −1201 book | 7/10 | |
| +1955 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +5052 books | — | 10/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 24.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 24.5 | Under 24.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada3 days ago | −135 | +105Best |
| FanDuel3 days ago | −120 | −106 |
| DraftKings3 days ago | −118Best | −111 |
| betPARX3 days ago | −121 | −113 |
| Bally Bet3 days ago | −121 | — |
| BetRivers3 days ago | −121 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
24.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+2%
This page last updated 9:07 PM ET.