Damian Lillard
POR @ DEN · Mon, Nov 2 9:00 PM
Game log against Under 20.5
70%7 of 10L10
Under 20.5 Points hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 7.9–23.5 points.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Under 20.5
- Average
- 15.2
- −5.3 vs line
- Median
- 17.5
- −3 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 52%
- at −110
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −128
Research, not a pick. At +105 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −128, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2266 books | +2051 book | 5/10 | |
| −2122 books | +1601 book | 5/10 | |
| −1486 books | +1301 book | 7/10 | |
| −1197 books | −1106 books | 7/10 | |
| +1025 books | −1201 book | 8/10 | |
| +1182 books | −1501 book | 9/10 | |
| +1485 books | −1851 book | 9/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 20.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 20.5 | Under 20.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada11 hr ago | −135 | +105Best |
| FanDuel11 hr ago | −128 | +100 |
| DraftKings11 hr ago | −119 | −107 |
| betPARX11 hr ago | −118 | −113 |
| BetRivers11 hr ago | −120 | −114 |
| Pinnacle11 hr ago | −111Best | −119 |
| Bally Bet11 hr ago | −118 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
20.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+2%
This page last updated 9:07 PM ET.