Damian Lillard
POR @ DEN · Mon, Nov 2 9:00 PM
Game log against Over 3.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 3.5 Rebounds cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 1–7.6 rebounds.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 3.5
- Average
- 3.2
- −0.3 vs line
- Median
- 3
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 58%
- at −138
- Books’ fair
- 54%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −137
Research, not a pick. At −122 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −137, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −12505 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −3456 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1387 books | +1056 books | 3/10 | |
| +1446 books | −2001 book | 3/10 | |
| +2605 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +4756 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +8005 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 3.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel18 hr ago | −122Best | −104 |
| Pinnacle18 hr ago | −125 | −106 |
| Bovada18 hr ago | −135 | +105 |
| DraftKings18 hr ago | −138 | +105 |
| Bally Bet18 hr ago | −148 | — |
| betPARX18 hr ago | −148 | +110Best |
| BetRivers18 hr ago | −150 | +110Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
3.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+2%
This page last updated 9:07 PM ET.