Damian Lillard
POR @ DEN · Mon, Nov 2 9:00 PM
Game log against Under 8.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 8.5 Reb+Ast hit in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 3.4–10.9 reb+ast.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Under 8.5
- Average
- 7
- −1.5 vs line
- Median
- 7.5
- −1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 52%
- at −110
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 53%
- estimate · fair −112
Research, not a pick. At +108 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −112, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −20004 books | — | 3/10 | |
| −1972 books | +1501 book | 5/10 | |
| −1316 books | −1104 books | 6/10 | |
| +1105 books | −1701 book | 9/10 | |
| +3401 book | — | 10/10 | |
| +12001 book | — | 10/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 8.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 8.5 | Under 8.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX23 hr ago | −143 | +108Best |
| Bovada23 hr ago | −120 | −110 |
| DraftKings23 hr ago | −120 | −110 |
| FanDuel23 hr ago | −102Best | −125 |
| Bally Bet23 hr ago | −143 | — |
| BetRivers23 hr ago | −143 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
8.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+2%
This page last updated 9:07 PM ET.