Damian Lillard
POR @ DEN · Mon, Nov 2 9:00 PM
Game log against Under 29.5
70%7 of 10L10
Under 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 11.6–32.7 pts+reb+ast.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Under 29.5
- Average
- 22.2
- −7.3 vs line
- Median
- 23.5
- −6 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −112
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −134
Research, not a pick. At +100 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −134, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3155 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1901 book | +1451 book | 7/10 | |
| −1601 book | +1201 book | 7/10 | |
| −1257 books | −1124 books | 7/10 | |
| −1054 books | −1273 books | 8/10 | |
| +1101 book | −1451 book | 9/10 | |
| +1855 books | — | 10/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 29.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 29.5 | Under 29.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada23 hr ago | −130 | +100Best |
| FanDuel23 hr ago | −115Best | −111 |
| DraftKings23 hr ago | −116 | −113 |
| Pinnacle23 hr ago | −117 | −113 |
| Bally Bet23 hr ago | −125 | — |
| betPARX23 hr ago | −125 | — |
| BetRivers23 hr ago | −125 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
29.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+2%
This page last updated 9:07 PM ET.