Derrick Henry

Baltimore Ravens · RB · #22

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price −1245 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

4 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Lamar Jackson at quarterback; Jackson is out tonight. Without him (BAL): Over 0.5 in 5 of 8.

TonightQuarterback
Lamar Jackson: Out (thumb). He led BAL in passing in 4 of 8 games this season
Also led: Tyler Huntley 3 (Doubtful, toe); Joe Fagnano 1 (led the last game). Over 0.5 with Jackson at quarterback: 25 of 36; with another BAL quarterback: 5 of 8
TonightRest
3 days off since Nov 1 at BUF: a short week
Carries + targets
Last 3: 16.7 carries + targets · 2026: 21.5 (8 games)
Target share: 6% last 3 games · 6% over 8 games this season
Game lines
BAL +10 · total 40.5 (6 sportsbooks)
BAL's games this season closed at 47 on average (8 games)

70%7 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 at home).

at GB, 2025-12-27: 4, cleared, 36 carries + targets
at PIT, 2026-01-04: 0, missed, 21 carries + targets
at IND, 2026-09-13: 3, cleared, 25 carries + targets
vs NO, 2026-09-20: 1, cleared, 19 carries + targets
at DAL, 2026-09-27: 2, cleared, 27 carries + targets
vs TEN, 2026-10-04: 1, cleared, 25 carries + targets
at ATL, 2026-10-11: 1, cleared, 26 carries + targets
at CLE, 2026-10-18: 0, missed, 18 carries + targets
vs CIN, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 19 carries + targets
at BUF, 2026-11-01: 1, cleared, 13 carries + targets

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against JAX in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 1 of 2 against JAX on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs JAX

Total Touchdowns: 1 in 19 carries + targets, Jan 7, 2024 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against JAX on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.3; +0.8 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −124
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Carries + targets: 22.9; 10 games · 19.3 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1245 books	pick'em only	7/10
+5505 books	—	3/10
+25005 books	—	2/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
FanDuel3 min ago	+125Best	—
Bovada1 min ago	−110	—
Bally Bet1 min ago	−124	—
betPARX1 min ago	−124	—
BetRivers1 min ago	−124	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:22 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over No move since first seen