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Derrick Henry

Baltimore Ravens · RB · #22

JAX @ BAL · Thu, Nov 5 8:15 PM
OverUnder1.5
Over 1.5 Receptions, typical price −1155 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 1.5

30%3 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Receptions cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

  1. vs PIT, 2025-12-07: 1, missed, 2 targets
  2. at PIT, 2026-01-04: 0, missed, 1 targets
  3. at IND, 2026-09-13: 1, missed, 1 targets
  4. vs NO, 2026-09-20: 3, cleared, 3 targets
  5. at DAL, 2026-09-27: 1, missed, 1 targets
  6. vs TEN, 2026-10-04: 2, cleared, 2 targets
  7. at ATL, 2026-10-11: 1, missed, 2 targets
  8. at CLE, 2026-10-18: 1, missed, 1 targets
  9. vs CIN, 2026-10-25: 1, missed, 2 targets
  10. at BUF, 2026-11-01: 2, cleared, 2 targets
ClearedMissedThe 1.5 lineTargets

Count only

Over 1.5 · L10

Matchup · 7 games

JAX allow 5.3 receptions a game to running backs: 6th most of 32

Rest

3 days off since Nov 1 at BUF

Last vs JAX

Receptions: 1 in 2 targets, Nov 19, 2023 (away)

Over 1.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against JAX on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average
1.3
−0.2 vs line
Median
1
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
30%
3 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −115
Books’ fair
49%
margin removed
Targets
1.7
10 games · 1.6 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 49%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−5604 books—9/10
−1155 books−1133 books3/10
+2554 books—1/10
+7004 books—0/10
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5Under 1.5
FanDuel1 min ago+106Best−140
Bally Bet15 min ago−115—
betPARX3 min ago−115−113
BetRivers3 min ago−117—
Pinnacle15 min ago−122−108Best
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:47 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over −111 → −115 since first seen

Derrick Henry's full game log and splits