Derrick Henry

Baltimore Ravens · RB · #22

JAX @ BAL · Thu, Nov 5 8:15 PM

Over Under69.5

Over 69.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1044 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 69.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightQuarterback
Lamar Jackson: Out (thumb). He led BAL in passing in 4 of 8 games this season
Also led: Tyler Huntley 3 (Doubtful, toe); Joe Fagnano 1 (Questionable, ankle, led the last game). Over 69.5 with Jackson at quarterback: 26 of 36; with another BAL quarterback: 4 of 8
TonightDefense vs running backs
JAX allow 57.7 rushing yards a game to running backs: the fewest of 32
7 games
TonightRest
3 days off since Nov 1 at BUF: a short week
Carries
Last 3: 15 carries · 2026: 19.8 (8 games)

60%6 of 10L10

Over 69.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 3 at home).

at GB, 2025-12-27: 216, cleared, 36 carries
at PIT, 2026-01-04: 126, cleared, 20 carries
at IND, 2026-09-13: 144, cleared, 24 carries
vs NO, 2026-09-20: 68, missed, 16 carries
at DAL, 2026-09-27: 89, cleared, 26 carries
vs TEN, 2026-10-04: 73, cleared, 23 carries
at ATL, 2026-10-11: 102, cleared, 24 carries
at CLE, 2026-10-18: 58, missed, 17 carries
vs CIN, 2026-10-25: 45, missed, 17 carries
at BUF, 2026-11-01: 53, missed, 11 carries

ClearedMissedThe 69.5 lineCarries

Splits

Over 69.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against JAX in his last 10; Over 69.5 cleared in 1 of 2 against JAX on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs JAX

Rushing Yards: 153 in 19 carries, Jan 7, 2024 (home)

Over 69.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against JAX on record

L10 · Over 69.5

Average: 97.4; +27.9 vs line
Median: 81; +11.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 51%; at −104
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Carries: 21.4; 10 games · 18.1 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 69.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3354 books	—	9/10
−1774 books	—	7/10
−1143 books	−1142 books	7/10
−1044 books	−1141 book	6/10
−1121 book	−1181 book	6/10
−1151 book	−1151 book	6/10
+1554 books	—	5/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 69.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 69.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 69.5	Under 69.5
Bally Bet4 min ago	−104Best	—
betPARX3 min ago	−104Best	—
BetRivers3 min ago	−104Best	—
FanDuel3 min ago	−114	−114Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:30 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

69.5

72.5 → 69.5 since first seen