Aaron Jones Sr.
BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM
Game log against Over 42.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 42.5 Rush+Rec Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).
What's different on Monday
Over 42.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Kyler Murray: Questionable (hamstring). He led MIN in passing in 5 of 7 games this season
Also led: Carson Wentz 2. Over 42.5 with Murray at quarterback: 3 of 5; with another MIN quarterback: 27 of 32
Defense vs running backs
BUF allow 125.9 rushing + receiving yards a game to running backs: 17th most of 32
7 games
Carries + targets
Last 3: 14.7 carries + targets · 2026: 18.7 (7 games)
Target share: 7% last 3 games · 12% over 6 games this season
Rest
7 days off since Nov 1 at DET
Splits
Over 42.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 42.5
- Average
- 76.9
- +34.4 vs line
- Median
- 78.5
- +36 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −115
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Carries + targets
- 19.2
- 10 games · 14.4 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 42.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1151 book | −1131 book | 7/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 42.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 42.5 | Under 42.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel7 min ago | −115Best | −113Best |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:57 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
42.5No move since first seen