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Aaron Jones Sr.

Minnesota Vikings · RB · #33

BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM
OverUnder31.5
Over 31.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1141 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 31.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Quarterback

    Kyler Murray: Questionable (hamstring). He led MIN in passing in 5 of 7 games this season

    Also led: Carson Wentz 2. Over 31.5 with Murray at quarterback: 3 of 5; with another MIN quarterback: 26 of 32

  • Defense vs running backs

    BUF allow 81.4 rushing yards a game to running backs: 22nd most of 32

    7 games

  • Carries

    Last 3: 12.7 carries · 2026: 15.7 (7 games)

  • Rest

    7 days off since Nov 1 at DET

Game log against Over 31.5

80%8 of 10L10

Over 31.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

  1. at DAL, 2025-12-14: 34, cleared, 12 carries
  2. at NYG, 2025-12-21: 85, cleared, 21 carries
  3. vs DET, 2025-12-25: 53, cleared, 18 carries
  4. vs GB, 2026-09-13: 40, cleared, 12 carries
  5. at CHI, 2026-09-20: 105, cleared, 23 carries
  6. at TB, 2026-09-27: 58, cleared, 17 carries
  7. vs MIA, 2026-10-04: 94, cleared, 20 carries
  8. at NO, 2026-10-11: 113, cleared, 25 carries
  9. vs IND, 2026-10-25: 26, missed, 8 carries
  10. at DET, 2026-11-01: 22, missed, 5 carries
ClearedMissedThe 31.5 lineCarries

Splits

Over 31.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 31.5

Average
63
+31.5 vs line
Median
55.5
+24 vs line
Hit rate
80%
8 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −114
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Carries
16.1
10 games · 11 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 31.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−3401 book—10/10
−2101 book—9/10
−1361 book—8/10
−1141 book−1141 book8/10
+1541 book—7/10
+2801 book—6/10
+4701 book—4/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 31.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 31.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 31.5Under 31.5
FanDuel2 min ago−114Best−114Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 10:29 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

31.5

Over No move since first seen

Aaron Jones Sr.'s full game log and splits