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Aaron Jones Sr.

Minnesota Vikings · RB · #33

BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM
OverUnder2.5
—1 pick'em app, no priceUpdated

Game log against Over 2.5

60%6 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Targets cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

  1. vs WSH, 2025-12-07: 1, missed, 1 targets
  2. at DAL, 2025-12-14: 3, cleared, 3 targets
  3. at NYG, 2025-12-21: 3, cleared, 3 targets
  4. vs DET, 2025-12-25: 4, cleared, 4 targets
  5. vs GB, 2026-09-13: 1, missed, 1 targets
  6. at TB, 2026-09-27: 6, cleared, 6 targets
  7. vs MIA, 2026-10-04: 8, cleared, 8 targets
  8. at NO, 2026-10-11: 3, cleared, 3 targets
  9. vs IND, 2026-10-25: 1, missed, 1 targets
  10. at DET, 2026-11-01: 2, missed, 2 targets
ClearedMissedThe 2.5 lineTargets

What's different on Monday

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • MonTargets

    Last 3: 2 targets · 2026: 3.5 (6 games) · down 43%

    Target share: 7% last 3 games · 12% over 6 games this season

  • Quarterback

    Kyler Murray: Questionable (hamstring). He led MIN in passing in 5 of 7 games this season

    Also led: Carson Wentz 2. Over 2.5 with Murray at quarterback: 3 of 5; with another MIN quarterback: 22 of 31

  • Rest

    7 days off since Nov 1 at DET

  • Game lines

    MIN +3.5 · total 45 (8 sportsbooks)

    MIN's games this season closed at 43.2 on average (7 games)

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 2.5

Average
3.2
+0.7 vs line
Median
3
+0.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
—
1 pick'em app, no price
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Targets
3.2
10 games · 3.4 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 1 pick'em app (a pick'em line, no price).

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
pick'em onlypick'em only6/10
Compare 1 pick'em app at 2.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Targets, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 2.5Under 2.5
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 2:19 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

No opening line kept for this market yet.

No line history recorded for this market yet.

Aaron Jones Sr.'s full game log and splits