Aaron Jones Sr.
BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM
Game log against Over 9.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 9.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).
What's different on Monday
Over 9.5 · facts from past games, not a pickMonTargets
Last 3: 2 targets · 2026: 3.5 (6 games) · down 43%
Target share: 7% last 3 games · 12% over 6 games this season
Quarterback
Kyler Murray: Questionable (hamstring). He led MIN in passing in 5 of 7 games this season
Also led: Carson Wentz 2. Over 9.5 with Murray at quarterback: 3 of 5; with another MIN quarterback: 25 of 31
Defense vs running backs
BUF allow 44.4 receiving yards a game to running backs: 4th most of 32
7 games
Rest
7 days off since Nov 1 at DET
Splits
Over 9.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 9.5
- Average
- 13.9
- +4.4 vs line
- Median
- 9
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- —
- 2 pick'em apps, no price
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Targets
- 3.2
- 10 games · 3.4 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 2 pick'em apps (a pick'em line, no price).
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 5/10 |
Compare 2 pick'em apps at 9.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 9.5 | Under 9.5 |
|---|---|---|
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 12:18 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
9.511.5 → 9.5 since we started recording it