Saddiq Bey

New Orleans Pelicans · F · #41

MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under3.5

Over 3.5 Rebounds, typical price −1447 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Rebounds cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 at home).

at SAC, 2026-04-03: 1, missed, 29 min
vs ORL, 2026-04-05: 6, cleared, 39 min
vs IND, 2026-10-21: 5, cleared, 24 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-23: 3, missed, 22 min
at DEN, 2026-10-24: 4, cleared, 25 min
vs DEN, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 26 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-29: 4, cleared, 24 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-31: 6, cleared, 26 min
at MEM, 2026-11-02: 5, cleared, 36 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-04: 4, cleared, 29 min

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1.1–7.7 rebounds.

What's different today

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Over 3.5 without him: 16 of 19; with him: 47 of 61 (80 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
MIN allow 15.1 rebounds a game to forwards: 27th most of 30
9 games
Minutes
Last 5: 28.2 min · 2026–27: 26.5 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 vs UTAH

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 10; Over 3.5 cleared in 3 of 3 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L10

Jeremiah FearsG
Dejounte MurrayG
Zion WilliamsonF
Yves MissiCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

Bey didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; rebounds the last time Bey faced them: 9 (Feb 6)

Over 3.5 hit in 3 of 3 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 3.5

Average: 3.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 4; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 59%; at −144
Books’ fair: 55%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −160

Research, not a pick. At −141 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −160, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−8353 books	—	8/10
−2955 books	—	8/10
−1447 books	+1086 books	7/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	4/10
+1355 books	−1851 book	4/10
+2405 books	—	2/10
+4005 books	—	0/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
Bally Bet14 min ago	−141Best	—
betPARX2 min ago	−141Best	+105
BetRivers3 min ago	−141Best	+105
Pinnacle14 min ago	−144	+108
Bovada14 min ago	−145	+110
FanDuel2 min ago	−146	+110
DraftKings14 min ago	−147	+112Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:51 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over: −154 → −144 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+4%

Saddiq Bey's full game log and splits