Saddiq Bey

New Orleans Pelicans · F · #41

MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under14.5

Over 14.5 Pts+Ast, typical price −1126 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 14.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).

at SAC, 2026-04-03: 23, cleared, 29 min
vs ORL, 2026-04-05: 33, cleared, 39 min
vs IND, 2026-10-21: 13, missed, 24 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-23: 21, cleared, 22 min
at DEN, 2026-10-24: 17, cleared, 25 min
vs DEN, 2026-10-28: 12, missed, 26 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-29: 13, missed, 24 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-31: 26, cleared, 26 min
at MEM, 2026-11-02: 19, cleared, 36 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-04: 25, cleared, 29 min

ClearedMissedThe 14.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 10.4–30.5 pts+ast.

What's different today

Over 14.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Over 14.5 without him: 15 of 19; with him: 44 of 61 (80 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 28.2 min · 2026–27: 26.5 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 vs UTAH
Game lines
NO +4.5 · total 230.5 (8 sportsbooks)
NO's games this season closed at 236.9 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 14.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 10; Over 14.5 cleared in 3 of 3 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 14.5 · L10

Jeremiah FearsG
Dejounte MurrayG
Zion WilliamsonF
Yves MissiCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

Bey didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; pts+ast the last time Bey faced them: 35 (Feb 6)

Over 14.5 hit in 3 of 3 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 14.5

Average: 20.2; +5.7 vs line
Median: 20; +5.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −112
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −156

Research, not a pick. At +100 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −156, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4005 books	—	10/10
−1801 book	+1351 book	9/10
−1301 book	+1001 book	7/10
−1126 books	−1304 books	7/10
+2505 books	—	5/10
+8602 books	—	3/10
+21002 books	—	1/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 14.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 14.5 Pts+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 14.5	Under 14.5
Bovada3 min ago	+100Best	−130
DraftKings3 min ago	−101	−130
FanDuel2 min ago	−108	−122
Bally Bet3 min ago	−112	—
betPARX2 min ago	−112	−121Best
BetRivers3 min ago	−112	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:24 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

14.5

Over: −114 → −112 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+4%

Saddiq Bey's full game log and splits