Saddiq Bey

New Orleans Pelicans · F · #41

MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Assists, typical price −1153 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Assists cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).

at SAC, 2026-04-03: 3, cleared, 29 min
vs ORL, 2026-04-05: 1, missed, 39 min
vs IND, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 24 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-23: 1, missed, 22 min
at DEN, 2026-10-24: 3, cleared, 25 min
vs DEN, 2026-10-28: 3, cleared, 26 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-29: 3, cleared, 24 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 26 min
at MEM, 2026-11-02: 1, missed, 36 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-04: 3, cleared, 29 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–4 assists.

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 11 of 19; with him: 42 of 61 (80 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
MIN allow 6.7 assists a game to forwards: 25th most of 30
9 games
Minutes
Last 5: 28.2 min · 2026–27: 26.5 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 vs UTAH

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 2 of 3 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Jeremiah FearsG
Dejounte MurrayG
Zion WilliamsonF
Yves MissiCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

Bey didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; assists the last time Bey faced them: 5 (Feb 6)

Over 1.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −115
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −131

Research, not a pick. At −113 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −131, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−6251 book	—	9/10
−1153 books	−1152 books	5/10
+2452 books	—	5/10
+6402 books	—	0/10
+14002 books	—	0/10
+40001 book	—	0/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel2 min ago	−113Best	—
Bovada4 min ago	−115	−115
DraftKings5 min ago	−116	−113Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:48 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −114 → −115 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+4%

Saddiq Bey's full game log and splits