Saddiq Bey

New Orleans Pelicans · F · #41

MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under17.5

Over 17.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1034 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Over 17.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

at SAC, 2026-04-03: 21, cleared, 29 min
vs ORL, 2026-04-05: 38, cleared, 39 min
vs IND, 2026-10-21: 18, cleared, 24 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-23: 23, cleared, 22 min
at DEN, 2026-10-24: 18, cleared, 25 min
vs DEN, 2026-10-28: 9, missed, 26 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-29: 14, missed, 24 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-31: 31, cleared, 26 min
at MEM, 2026-11-02: 23, cleared, 36 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-04: 26, cleared, 29 min

ClearedMissedThe 17.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 11.9–33 pts+reb.

What's different today

Over 17.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Over 17.5 without him: 15 of 19; with him: 46 of 61 (80 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 28.2 min · 2026–27: 26.5 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 vs UTAH
Game lines
NO +4.5 · total 230.5 (6 sportsbooks)
NO's games this season closed at 236.9 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 17.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 10; Over 17.5 cleared in 3 of 3 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 17.5 · L10

Jeremiah FearsG
Dejounte MurrayG
Zion WilliamsonF
Yves MissiCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

Bey didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; pts+reb the last time Bey faced them: 39 (Feb 6)

Over 17.5 hit in 3 of 3 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 17.5

Average: 22.1; +4.6 vs line
Median: 22; +4.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 51%; at −103
Books’ fair: 47%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −152

Research, not a pick. At −102 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −152, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−7701 book	—	9/10
−1904 books	—	8/10
−1121 book	−1181 book	8/10
−1034 books	−1322 books	8/10
+1454 books	—	6/10
+3404 books	—	3/10
+11401 book	—	2/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks at 17.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 17.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 17.5	Under 17.5
FanDuel3 min ago	−102Best	−130Best
Bally Bet6 min ago	−103	—
betPARX5 min ago	−103	−132
BetRivers5 min ago	−103	—

Prices as of 9:42 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

17.5

16.5 → 17.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+4%

Saddiq Bey's full game log and splits