Saddiq Bey

New Orleans Pelicans · F · #41

MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under5.5

Over 5.5 Reb+Ast, typical price −1126 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 5.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

at SAC, 2026-04-03: 4, missed, 29 min
vs ORL, 2026-04-05: 7, cleared, 39 min
vs IND, 2026-10-21: 5, missed, 24 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-23: 4, missed, 22 min
at DEN, 2026-10-24: 7, cleared, 25 min
vs DEN, 2026-10-28: 3, missed, 26 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-29: 7, cleared, 24 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-31: 7, cleared, 26 min
at MEM, 2026-11-02: 6, cleared, 36 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-04: 7, cleared, 29 min

ClearedMissedThe 5.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 2.3–11 reb+ast.

What's different today

Over 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Over 5.5 without him: 16 of 19; with him: 42 of 61 (80 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 28.2 min · 2026–27: 26.5 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 vs UTAH
Game lines
NO +3.5 · total 230.5 (6 sportsbooks)
NO's games this season closed at 236.9 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 5.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 10; Over 5.5 cleared in 3 of 3 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 5.5 · L10

Jeremiah FearsG
Dejounte MurrayG
Zion WilliamsonF
Yves MissiCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

Bey didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; reb+ast the last time Bey faced them: 14 (Feb 6)

Over 5.5 hit in 3 of 3 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 5.5

Average: 5.7; +0.2 vs line
Median: 6.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −112
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −137

Research, not a pick. At −110 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −137, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1954 books	+1651 book	7/10
−1126 books	−1184 books	6/10
+1451 book	−1901 book	5/10
+5503 books	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 5.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 5.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 5.5	Under 5.5
Bally Bet12 min ago	−110Best	—
betPARX1 min ago	−110Best	−124
BetRivers2 min ago	−110Best	—
FanDuel2 min ago	−112	−118
DraftKings13 min ago	−118	−112
Bovada12 min ago	−120	−110Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:25 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

5.5

Over: −118 → −112 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+4%

Saddiq Bey's full game log and splits