Saddiq Bey

New Orleans Pelicans · F · #41

MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under18.5

Over 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, typical price −1146 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).

at SAC, 2026-04-03: 24, cleared, 29 min
vs ORL, 2026-04-05: 39, cleared, 39 min
vs IND, 2026-10-21: 18, missed, 24 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-23: 24, cleared, 22 min
at DEN, 2026-10-24: 21, cleared, 25 min
vs DEN, 2026-10-28: 12, missed, 26 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-29: 17, missed, 24 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-31: 32, cleared, 26 min
at MEM, 2026-11-02: 24, cleared, 36 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-04: 29, cleared, 29 min

ClearedMissedThe 18.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 13.4–36.2 pts+reb+ast.

What's different today

Over 18.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Over 18.5 without him: 15 of 19; with him: 45 of 61 (80 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
MIN allow 59.8 points + rebounds + assists a game to forwards: 26th most of 30
9 games
Minutes
Last 5: 28.2 min · 2026–27: 26.5 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 vs UTAH

Splits

Over 18.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 10; Over 18.5 cleared in 3 of 3 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 18.5 · L10

Jeremiah FearsG
Dejounte MurrayG
Zion WilliamsonF
Yves MissiCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

Bey didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; pts+reb+ast the last time Bey faced them: 44 (Feb 6)

Over 18.5 hit in 3 of 3 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 18.5

Average: 24; +5.5 vs line
Median: 24; +5.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −157

Research, not a pick. At −105 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −157, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2151 book	+1601 book	9/10
−1701 book	+1301 book	9/10
−1301 book	+1001 book	8/10
−1146 books	−1205 books	7/10
+1065 books	−1601 book	7/10
+2505 books	—	3/10
+7802 books	—	2/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 18.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 18.5	Under 18.5
Bovada1 min ago	−105Best	−125
DraftKings2 min ago	−106	−124
FanDuel1 min ago	−110	−120
Bally Bet2 min ago	−114	—
betPARX2 min ago	−114	−118Best
BetRivers2 min ago	−114	−118Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:50 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

18.5

−118 → −114 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+4%

Saddiq Bey's full game log and splits