Saddiq Bey

New Orleans Pelicans · F · #41

MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1096 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).

at SAC, 2026-04-03: 1, missed, 29 min
vs ORL, 2026-04-05: 3, cleared, 39 min
vs IND, 2026-10-21: 2, cleared, 24 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-23: 3, cleared, 22 min
at DEN, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 25 min
vs DEN, 2026-10-28: 1, missed, 26 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-29: 1, missed, 24 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 26 min
at MEM, 2026-11-02: 2, cleared, 36 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-04: 2, cleared, 29 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 3-pointers made.

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs forwards
MIN allow 3.2 threes made a game to forwards: 29th most of 30
9 games
Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 12 of 19; with him: 36 of 61 (80 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 28.2 min · 2026–27: 26.5 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 vs UTAH

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 1 of 3 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Jeremiah FearsG
Dejounte MurrayG
Zion WilliamsonF
Yves MissiCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

Bey didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; 3-pointers made the last time Bey faced them: 3 (Feb 6)

Over 1.5 hit in 1 of 3 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 52%; at −109
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −139

Research, not a pick. At −108 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −139, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4726 books	—	10/10
−1096 books	−1225 books	6/10
+2506 books	—	2/10
+5756 books	—	0/10
+16003 books	—	0/10
+29002 books	—	0/10
+45001 book	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings8 min ago	−108Best	−122
Bally Bet8 min ago	−109	—
betPARX4 min ago	−109	−124
BetRivers4 min ago	−109	−124
Bovada8 min ago	−110	−120
FanDuel2 min ago	−125	−106Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:50 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −106 → −109 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+4%

Saddiq Bey's full game log and splits