Saddiq Bey
MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Over 1.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 3-pointers made.
What's different today
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayDefense vs forwards
MIN allow 3.2 threes made a game to forwards: 29th most of 30
9 games
Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 12 of 19; with him: 36 of 61 (80 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 28.2 min · 2026–27: 26.5 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 vs UTAH
Splits
Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIN in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 1 of 3 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 1.5 · L10Jeremiah FearsG
Dejounte MurrayG
Zion WilliamsonF
Yves MissiCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIN
Bey didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; 3-pointers made the last time Bey faced them: 3 (Feb 6)
Over 1.5 hit in 1 of 3 games against MIN on record
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 1.8
- +0.3 vs line
- Median
- 2
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 52%
- at −109
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −140
Research, not a pick. At −109 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −140, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4555 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −1095 books | −1244 books | 6/10 | |
| +2505 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +5755 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +15402 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +29001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet8 min ago | −109Best | — |
| betPARX7 min ago | −109Best | −124 |
| BetRivers7 min ago | −109Best | −124 |
| DraftKings8 min ago | −109Best | −120 |
| FanDuel6 min ago | −125 | −106Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:42 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Over: −106 → −109 since first seen


