Payton Pritchard
BOS @ HOU · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PM
Game log against Over 2.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 2.5 Rebounds cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–6.4 rebounds.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 2.5
- Average
- 3.2
- +0.7 vs line
- Median
- 3
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 62%
- at −166
- Books’ fair
- 59%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 61%
- estimate · fair −156
Research, not a pick. At −162 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −156, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −5004 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1666 books | +1255 books | 6/10 | |
| +1385 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +2905 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +5405 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +11201 book | — | 1/10 | |
| +18682 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet18 hr ago | −162Best | — |
| betPARX18 hr ago | −162Best | +123 |
| DraftKings18 hr ago | −165 | +125 |
| BetRivers18 hr ago | −167 | +120 |
| FanDuel18 hr ago | −180 | +140Best |
| Pinnacle18 hr ago | −182 | +136 |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace−0.6%
Rest−3%
This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.