Payton Pritchard
BOS @ HOU · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PM
Game log against Over 6.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 6.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 3–11.1 reb+ast.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 6.5
- Average
- 7.6
- +1.1 vs line
- Median
- 8
- +1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 59%
- at −141
- Books’ fair
- 55%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −131
Research, not a pick. At −139 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −131, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −5004 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −1414 books | +1061 book | 6/10 | |
| +1142 books | −1501 book | 6/10 | |
| +3004 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +7001 book | — | 1/10 | |
| +20001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 6.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 6.5 | Under 6.5 |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers17 hr ago | −139Best | — |
| Bally Bet17 hr ago | −141 | — |
| betPARX17 hr ago | −141 | +106Best |
| DraftKings17 hr ago | −150 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
6.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace−0.6%
Rest−3%
This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.