Payton Pritchard
BOS @ HOU · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PM
Game log against Over 3.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 3.5 Assists cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 2–7 assists.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 3.5
- Average
- 4.4
- +0.9 vs line
- Median
- 4.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 59%
- at −141
- Books’ fair
- 55%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −133
Research, not a pick. At −134 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −133, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −14304 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −3455 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1416 books | +1055 books | 7/10 | |
| +1505 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +2905 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +5255 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +9005 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle17 hr ago | −134Best | +101 |
| betPARX17 hr ago | −139 | +105 |
| Bally Bet17 hr ago | −141 | — |
| BetRivers17 hr ago | −141 | +105 |
| FanDuel17 hr ago | −146 | +114Best |
| DraftKings17 hr ago | −147 | +112 |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
3.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace−0.6%
Rest−3%
This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.