Payton Pritchard
BOS @ HOU · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PM
Game log against Under 23.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 23.5 Pts+Reb+Ast hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 7.4–34.8 pts+reb+ast.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Under 23.5
- Average
- 23.7
- +0.2 vs line
- Median
- 22
- −1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −123
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −130
Research, not a pick. At −107 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −130, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −10801 book | — | 2/10 | |
| −2304 books | — | 3/10 | |
| −1016 books | −1235 books | 6/10 | |
| +1234 books | — | 6/10 | |
| +3004 books | — | 7/10 | |
| +7001 book | — | 8/10 | |
| +15001 book | — | 9/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 23.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 23.5 | Under 23.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle20 hr ago | −123 | −107Best |
| FanDuel20 hr ago | −104 | −122 |
| DraftKings21 hr ago | −107 | −123 |
| betPARX20 hr ago | +102Best | −137 |
| BetRivers20 hr ago | +102Best | −137 |
| Bally Bet20 hr ago | +102Best | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
23.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace−0.6%
Rest−3%
This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.