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Nikola Jokic

Denver Nuggets · C · #15

POR @ DEN · Mon, Nov 2 9:00 PM
OverUnder1.5
Under 1.5 Steals, typical price −1345 sportsbooks · consensus line

Game log against Under 1.5

60%6 of 10L10

Under 1.5 Steals hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

  1. vs MIN, 2026-04-20: 0, hit
  2. at MIN, 2026-04-23: 2, missed
  3. at MIN, 2026-04-25: 3, missed
  4. vs MIN, 2026-04-27: 0, hit
  5. at MIN, 2026-04-30: 0, hit
  6. at OKC, 2026-10-22: 1, hit
  7. vs NO, 2026-10-24: 2, missed
  8. vs GS, 2026-10-26: 1, hit
  9. at NO, 2026-10-28: 1, hit
  10. at PHX, 2026-10-30: 3, missed
Under hitMissedThe 1.5 line

Our model's range for Monday's game: a typical game lands 0–3 steals.

No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.

L10 · Under 1.5

Average
1.3
−0.2 vs line
Median
1
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
57%
at −134
Books’ fair
52%
margin removed
Our chance
58%
estimate · fair −136

Research, not a pick. At −106 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −136, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−5905 books—3/10
−1295 books−1343 books6/10
+2255 books—8/10
+5405 books—10/10
+19062 books—10/10
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5Under 1.5
betPARX30 hr ago−129−106Best
DraftKings30 hr ago+101−134
FanDuel30 hr ago+102Best−136
Bally Bet30 hr ago−129—
BetRivers30 hr ago−129—
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 9:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

No opening line kept for this market yet.

No line history recorded for this market yet.

What moved our number

Pace+2%
Nikola Jokic's full game log and splits

This page last updated 9:07 PM ET.