Nikola Jokic

Denver Nuggets · C · #15

POR @ DENTrail Blazers @ Nuggets · Today 9:00 PM ET

The line

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made

−1067 sportsbooksbest +103

Game log

Under 1.5

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

vs MIN: 1, hit
at MIN: 2, missed
at MIN: 0, hit
vs MIN: 1, hit
at MIN: 1, hit
at OKC: 1, hit
vs NO: 3, missed
vs GS: 1, hit
at NO: 0, hit
at PHX: 0, hit

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–3 3-pointers made.

Home and away

L10 · Under 1.5

Hometonight

75%

3 of 4

Away

83%

5 of 6

L10 · Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made

Average: 1; −0.5 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 51%; −106, 7 sportsbooks
Market’s fair: 48%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −145

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Research, not a pick. At +103 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −145, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Pinnacle26 min ago	−137	+103Best
FanDuel22 min ago	−122	−104
betPARX26 min ago	−125	−106
BetRivers23 min ago	−129	−107
Bovada25 min ago	−120	−110
DraftKings29 min ago	−118Best	−112
Bally Bet26 min ago	−129	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price