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The line
Over 0.5 Blocks
Typical price −1904 sportsbooksbest −157
Game log
Over 0.5Over 0.5 Blocks cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 blocks.
Home and away
L10 · Over 0.5Hometonight
100%
4 of 4
Away
50%
3 of 6
L10 · Over 0.5 Blocks
- Average
- 1.2
- +0.7 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 66%
- −190, 4 sportsbooks
- Market’s fair
- 59%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −150
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Research, not a pick. At −157 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −150, so it isn't worth it.
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings43 min ago | −157Best | +118 |
| Bally Bet39 min ago | −190 | — |
| betPARX39 min ago | −190 | +138Best |
| BetRivers36 min ago | −190 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET.
Every posted line
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1904 books | +1282 books | 7/10 | |
| +2504 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +9601 book | — | 2/10 | |
| +23001 book | — | 0/10 |
What moved our number
Pace+2%