Nikola Jokic
POR @ DEN · Mon, Nov 2 9:00 PM
Game log against Over 11.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 11.5 Rebounds cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 6.9–17.6 rebounds.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 11.5
- Average
- 11.5
- ±0 vs line
- Median
- 12.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 57%
- at −134
- Books’ fair
- 53%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −129
Research, not a pick. At −128 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −129, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −5305 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −3155 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −2056 books | +1551 book | 6/10 | |
| −1347 books | +1004 books | 6/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 5/10 | |
| +1086 books | −1433 books | 5/10 | |
| +1556 books | −2401 book | 4/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 11.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 11.5 | Under 11.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel13 hr ago | −128Best | +100 |
| Bovada13 hr ago | −130 | +100 |
| DraftKings13 hr ago | −131 | −101 |
| Pinnacle13 hr ago | −134 | +101Best |
| Bally Bet13 hr ago | −137 | — |
| betPARX13 hr ago | −137 | — |
| BetRivers13 hr ago | −137 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
11.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+2%
This page last updated 9:07 PM ET.