Nikola Jokic
POR @ DEN · Mon, Nov 2 9:00 PM
Game log against Over 9.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 9.5 Assists cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 6–14 assists.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 9.5
- Average
- 9.2
- −0.3 vs line
- Median
- 10
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 56%
- at −125
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −127
Research, not a pick. At −115 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −127, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −10006 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −4355 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −2276 books | +1601 book | 7/10 | |
| −1257 books | −1056 books | 6/10 | |
| +1236 books | −1701 book | 2/10 | |
| +1956 books | −2901 book | 1/10 | |
| +3056 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 9.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 9.5 | Under 9.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle10 hr ago | −115Best | −115 |
| FanDuel10 hr ago | −120 | −106 |
| Bovada10 hr ago | −125 | −105 |
| DraftKings10 hr ago | −125 | −106 |
| Bally Bet10 hr ago | −136 | — |
| betPARX10 hr ago | −136 | +102Best |
| BetRivers10 hr ago | −137 | +102Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
9.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+2%
This page last updated 9:07 PM ET.