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Nikola Jokic
POR @ DEN · Mon, Nov 2 9:00 PM
Game log against Under 1.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 1.5 Steals hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–3 steals.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Under 1.5
- Average
- 1.3
- −0.2 vs line
- Median
- 1
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 57%
- at −134
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −136
Research, not a pick. At −106 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −136, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −5905 books | — | 3/10 | |
| −1295 books | −1343 books | 6/10 | |
| +2255 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +5405 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +19062 books | — | 10/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX6 hr ago | −129 | −106Best |
| DraftKings6 hr ago | +101 | −134 |
| FanDuel6 hr ago | +102Best | −136 |
| Bally Bet6 hr ago | −129 | — |
| BetRivers6 hr ago | −129 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+2%
This page last updated 9:07 PM ET.