Nickeil Alexander-Walker
ATL @ IND · Mon, Nov 2 7:30 PM
Game log against Under 3.5
40%4 of 10L10
Under 3.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 1–5 3-pointers made.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Under 3.5
- Average
- 3.2
- −0.3 vs line
- Median
- 4
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 61%
- at −157
- Books’ fair
- 57%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −130
Research, not a pick. At −155 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −130, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −70001 book | — | 1/10 | |
| −6255 books | — | 2/10 | |
| −2105 books | +1451 book | 4/10 | |
| +1166 books | −1575 books | 4/10 | |
| +2405 books | — | 7/10 | |
| +4605 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +8005 books | — | 10/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX25 hr ago | +115 | −155Best |
| Pinnacle25 hr ago | +117 | −156 |
| BetRivers25 hr ago | +115 | −157 |
| FanDuel25 hr ago | +124 | −158 |
| Bovada25 hr ago | +130Best | −170 |
| Bally Bet25 hr ago | +115 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
3.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+3%
This page last updated 7:37 PM ET.