Nickeil Alexander-Walker
ATL @ IND · Mon, Nov 2 7:30 PM
Game log against Under 3.5
80%8 of 10L10
Under 3.5 Assists hit in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 1–5 assists.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Under 3.5
- Average
- 2.4
- −1.1 vs line
- Median
- 2.5
- −1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 49%
- at +104
- Books’ fair
- 45%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −140
Research, not a pick. At +120 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −140, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −12504 books | — | 4/10 | |
| −3354 books | — | 5/10 | |
| −1406 books | +1045 books | 8/10 | |
| +1504 books | −1901 book | 9/10 | |
| +2954 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +5404 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +11001 book | — | 10/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel10 hr ago | −154 | +120Best |
| Bovada10 hr ago | −150 | +115 |
| betPARX10 hr ago | −137 | +104 |
| BetRivers10 hr ago | −139 | +102 |
| Pinnacle10 hr ago | −132Best | −100 |
| Bally Bet10 hr ago | −141 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
3.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+3%
This page last updated 7:37 PM ET.