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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Atlanta Hawks · G · #7

ATL @ IND · Mon, Nov 2 7:30 PM
OverUnder1.5
Under 1.5 Steals, typical price −1834 sportsbooks · consensus line

Game log against Under 1.5

80%8 of 10L10

Under 1.5 Steals hit in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

  1. vs NY, 2026-04-25: 0, hit
  2. at NY, 2026-04-28: 1, hit
  3. vs NY, 2026-04-30: 1, hit
  4. at ORL, 2026-10-21: 1, hit
  5. at CHA, 2026-10-23: 2, missed
  6. vs HOU, 2026-10-24: 3, missed
  7. at HOU, 2026-10-26: 1, hit
  8. vs MIA, 2026-10-28: 1, hit
  9. vs CLE, 2026-10-29: 0, hit
  10. at NO, 2026-10-31: 1, hit
Under hitMissedThe 1.5 line

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 steals.

No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.

L10 · Under 1.5

Average
1.1
−0.4 vs line
Median
1
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
80%
8 of 10
Price implies
65%
at −183
Books’ fair
60%
margin removed
Our chance
66%
estimate · fair −193

Research, not a pick. At −172 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −193, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−3154 books—2/10
+1404 books−1832 books8/10
+4104 books—9/10
+10001 book—10/10
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5Under 1.5
FanDuel15 hr ago+128−172Best
betPARX15 hr ago+140Best−195
Bally Bet15 hr ago+140Best—
BetRivers15 hr ago+140Best—
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

No opening line kept for this market yet.

No line history recorded for this market yet.

What moved our number

Pace+3%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:37 PM ET.