Nickeil Alexander-Walker
ATL @ IND · Mon, Nov 2 7:30 PMGame log against Under 1.5
80%8 of 10L10
Under 1.5 Steals hit in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 steals.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Under 1.5
- Average
- 1.1
- −0.4 vs line
- Median
- 1
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 65%
- at −183
- Books’ fair
- 60%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 66%
- estimate · fair −193
Research, not a pick. At −172 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −193, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3154 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +1404 books | −1832 books | 8/10 | |
| +4104 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +10001 book | — | 10/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel15 hr ago | +128 | −172Best |
| betPARX15 hr ago | +140Best | −195 |
| Bally Bet15 hr ago | +140Best | — |
| BetRivers15 hr ago | +140Best | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+3%
This page last updated 7:37 PM ET.


