Nickeil Alexander-Walker
ATL @ IND · Mon, Nov 2 7:30 PM
Game log against Under 21.5
70%7 of 10L10
Under 21.5 Points hit in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 9–27.1 points.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Under 21.5
- Average
- 17.7
- −3.8 vs line
- Median
- 15.5
- −6 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −115
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 59%
- estimate · fair −143
Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −143, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2272 books | +1701 book | 7/10 | |
| −1755 books | +1351 book | 7/10 | |
| −1402 books | +1101 book | 7/10 | |
| −1166 books | −1155 books | 7/10 | |
| +1132 books | −1451 book | 7/10 | |
| +1255 books | −1701 book | 8/10 | |
| +1702 books | −2151 book | 8/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 21.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 21.5 | Under 21.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX10 hr ago | −117 | −114Best |
| BetRivers10 hr ago | −118 | −115 |
| Bovada10 hr ago | −115 | −115 |
| Pinnacle10 hr ago | −111 | −119 |
| FanDuel10 hr ago | −106Best | −120 |
| Bally Bet10 hr ago | −117 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
21.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+3%
This page last updated 7:37 PM ET.