Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Atlanta Hawks · G · #7

ATL @ INDHawks @ Pacers · Today 7:30 PM ET

The line

Under 7.5 Reb+Ast

−1205 sportsbooksbest −111

Game log

Under 7.5

Under 7.5 Reb+Ast hit in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

vs NY: 5, hit
at NY: 3, hit
vs NY: 3, hit
at ORL: 7, hit
at CHA: 8, missed
vs HOU: 9, missed
at HOU: 5, hit
vs MIA: 4, hit
vs CLE: 4, hit
at NO: 3, hit

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 1.4–9.8 reb+ast.

Home and away

L10 · Under 7.5

Home

80%

4 of 5

Awaytonight

80%

4 of 5

L10 · Under 7.5 Reb+Ast

Average: 5.1; −2.4 vs line
Median: 4.5; −3 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 55%; −120, 5 sportsbooks
Market’s fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −159

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Research, not a pick. At −111 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −159, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 7.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 7.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 7.5	Under 7.5
FanDuel57 min ago	−115	−111Best
Bovada59 min ago	−110	−120
betPARX59 min ago	−107Best	−124
Bally Bet59 min ago	−107Best	—
BetRivers57 min ago	−107Best	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price