Matas Buzelis
CHI @ PHI · Mon, Nov 2 7:30 PM
Game log against Over 0.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Blocks cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 blocks.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Median
- 0.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 68%
- at −210
- Books’ fair
- 63%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 63%
- estimate · fair −170
Research, not a pick. At −210 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −170, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2104 books | +1501 book | 5/10 | |
| +2104 books | −2451 book | 3/10 | |
| +5801 book | — | 2/10 | |
| +12801 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet22 hr ago | −210Best | — |
| betPARX22 hr ago | −210Best | +150Best |
| BetRivers21 hr ago | −210Best | — |
| FanDuel21 hr ago | −270 | — |
Prices as of 7:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+4%
This page last updated 7:37 PM ET.