Matas Buzelis
CHI @ PHI · Mon, Nov 2 7:30 PM
Game log against Over 1.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–4 3-pointers made.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 1.4
- −0.1 vs line
- Median
- 1.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 59%
- at −141
- Books’ fair
- 53%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −136
Research, not a pick. At −115 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −136, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −5901 book | — | 7/10 | |
| −1415 books | +1004 books | 5/10 | |
| +2054 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +5004 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +18001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel26 hr ago | −115Best | −111 |
| Pinnacle26 hr ago | −125 | −106 |
| Bally Bet26 hr ago | −141 | — |
| betPARX26 hr ago | −141 | +106Best |
| BetRivers26 hr ago | −141 | +105 |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+4%
This page last updated 7:37 PM ET.