Matas Buzelis
CHI @ PHI · Mon, Nov 2 7:30 PM
Game log against Over 1.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 1.5 Assists cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–4 assists.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 2.2
- +0.7 vs line
- Median
- 2
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 65%
- at −186
- Books’ fair
- 61%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 59%
- estimate · fair −142
Research, not a pick. At −172 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −142, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1864 books | +1382 books | 7/10 | |
| +1603 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +3854 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +8003 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +20001 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel20 hr ago | −172Best | — |
| Bally Bet20 hr ago | −186 | — |
| betPARX20 hr ago | −186 | +138Best |
| BetRivers20 hr ago | −190 | +138Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+4%
This page last updated 7:37 PM ET.