Matas Buzelis
CHI @ PHI · Mon, Nov 2 7:30 PM
Game log against Over 4.5
90%9 of 10L10
Over 4.5 Rebounds cleared in 9 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 2.5–9.1 rebounds.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 4.5
- Average
- 5.6
- +1.1 vs line
- Median
- 5.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 90%
- 9 of 10
- Price implies
- 61%
- at −156
- Books’ fair
- 56%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 65%
- estimate · fair −183
Research, not a pick. At −143 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −183, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −10005 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −3354 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1566 books | +1153 books | 9/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 5/10 | |
| +1165 books | −1593 books | 5/10 | |
| +2005 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +3404 books | — | 2/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 4.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 4.5 | Under 4.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle18 hr ago | −143Best | +108 |
| Bovada18 hr ago | −150 | +115 |
| FanDuel18 hr ago | −150 | +118Best |
| Bally Bet18 hr ago | −162 | — |
| betPARX18 hr ago | −162 | — |
| BetRivers18 hr ago | −162 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
4.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+4%
This page last updated 7:37 PM ET.