Matas Buzelis
CHI @ PHI · Mon, Nov 2 7:30 PM
Game log against Over 19.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 19.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (1 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 11.6–32.1 pts+reb.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 19.5
- Average
- 19.7
- +0.2 vs line
- Median
- 20.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 57%
- at −134
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −128
Research, not a pick. At −115 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −128, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4553 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1601 book | +1201 book | 6/10 | |
| −1345 books | −1082 books | 5/10 | |
| −1114 books | −1262 books | 5/10 | |
| +2053 books | — | 2/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 19.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 19.5 | Under 19.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel19 hr ago | −115Best | −111 |
| Bovada19 hr ago | −125 | −105Best |
| BetRivers19 hr ago | −134 | — |
| Bally Bet19 hr ago | −136 | — |
| betPARX19 hr ago | −136 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
19.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+4%
This page last updated 7:37 PM ET.